Electricity load forecasting plays an important role in planning and a vital role in the operational management of an electric power system based on smart grids. In this work, several data-driven approaches are used to forecast the individual electricity demand for the subsequent hour of three Italian households in a nanogrid context. For each user, the tested prediction models exploit only the historic series of total electricity consumption. The results show similar performances in all models implemented. Despite a widespread delay, the predictions follow the measurement trend well, while also highlighting the particular difficulty of predicting peak values.

Consumption based-only load forecasting for individual households in nanogrids: A case study

Caliano M.;Buonanno A.;Graditi G.;Pontecorvo A.;Sforza G.;Valenti M.
2020

Abstract

Electricity load forecasting plays an important role in planning and a vital role in the operational management of an electric power system based on smart grids. In this work, several data-driven approaches are used to forecast the individual electricity demand for the subsequent hour of three Italian households in a nanogrid context. For each user, the tested prediction models exploit only the historic series of total electricity consumption. The results show similar performances in all models implemented. Despite a widespread delay, the predictions follow the measurement trend well, while also highlighting the particular difficulty of predicting peak values.
978-8-8872-3747-4
machine learning
nanogrid
residential load forecasting
smart meters
time series analysis
File in questo prodotto:
Non ci sono file associati a questo prodotto.

I documenti in IRIS sono protetti da copyright e tutti i diritti sono riservati, salvo diversa indicazione.

Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12079/58837
Citazioni
  • ???jsp.display-item.citation.pmc??? ND
  • Scopus 2
social impact